13-week trends — solid line is 2026, dashed is 2025 YoY
Volume & Efficiency — Last 12 Weeks
NCs/Day Blended CAC Target
$980K
Revenue
↑ 3.6% WoW
Last week: $946K (Omni)
$390K
Ad Spend
↑ 6% WoW
Last week: $369K (Daily Stand)
2.51x
MER
↓ 2.0% WoW
Omni rev ÷ Daily Stand spend
$89.31
Blended CAC
↑ 4.8% WoW
Last week: $85.21 • Target: <$85
624/day
New Customers
↑ 1.4% WoW
Last week: 615/day • Target: 600
$53.41
iAOV
↑ 0.5% WoW
Omni rev ÷ orders
2.66%
Site CVR (GA4)
↓ 0.16pt WoW
Last week: 2.82% • Target: >2.0%
$45.66
CPM (Meta blended)
↑ ~6% WoW
Daily avg across week
2.01%
CTR (Meta)
↑ vs prior
Weighted avg across campaigns
Revenue landed at $980K (+3.6% WoW) on $390K spend (+6% WoW), with NCs averaging 624/day vs. 615/day prior — above the 600 target. Blended CAC ran $89.31 (+4.8% WoW), the fourth consecutive week above the $85 target, and MER slipped to 2.51x from 2.56x. Daily Stand CAC ranged $80–$94 Mon–Sat, then jumped to $112 on Sunday May 10 on the highest single-day spend of the week ($63.6K).
Top-of-funnel grew across the board: sessions +7.5%, ATC +6.5%, and checkout starts +5.4% WoW. NCs grew slower at +1.4%, and GA4 purchaser CVR fell to 2.66% from 2.82% — still well above the 2% floor. Checkout-to-NC step shows the largest drop-off (11,138 checkouts vs. 4,367 NCs), consistent with prior weeks.
Channel Mix
Spend from Daily Stand • NCs/CAC/ROAS from Northbeam (Clicks Only)
Channel Spend Mix — Last 6 Weeks
Channel
Spend
% Mix
NCs
CAC
ROAS
Facebook Ads
$259,569
66%
1,608
$161
0.51x
Google Ads
$33,309
9%
643
$52
2.92x
YouTube Ads
$50,764
13%
197
$176
0.42x
Axon (AppLovin)
$14,511
4%
74
$196
0.49x
GeistM + FirstMedia
$16,761
4%
37
$111
0.67x
FB Canada
$1,225
0%
4
$133
7.27x
Bing / Microsoft
$2,560
1%
32
$31
2.78x
Impact / Affiliates / Other
$21,526
6%
1,772
$12
varies
Total
$390,000
100%
4,367
$89.31
2.51x
Facebook carried 66% of paid spend ($260K) at $161 Northbeam CAC, while Google Ads ran $33K at $52 CAC (2.92x ROAS) — though og_search-brand alone delivered 403 of Google's 643 NCs at $14 CAC. YouTube spent $51K (13% mix) at $176 CAC, and Axon spent $14.5K at $196 CAC. GeistM + FirstMedia dropped to $16.8K spend this week vs. higher historical levels, with $111 CAC across 37 NCs.
Meta spend rose to $260K (66% of paid mix) at a $161 Northbeam CAC vs. ~$132 on conv_all_ABO_sandbox the prior week ($118K). CPM ran $45.66 (+6% WoW) and CTR held strong at 2.01%. Two FOUNDER-vs-Mushroom-Coffee creatives delivered 966 of Meta's 1,608 NCs combined ($145.2K spend, $150 avg CAC); the spring-sale ASC campaign carried 11% of Meta spend at $180 CAC vs. $178 prior. Two Axon-tagged creatives ($6.7K and $1.9K spend) returned 0 NCs and 0% CTR in Northbeam.
Google Ads Deep Dive
13-week trends — Google Ads + Google Canada + YouTube Ads
CPM (avg)
$154 this week
CTR (Brand)
33.0% this week
CAC (Northbeam)
$52 this week
New Customers
643 this week
Campaign
Spend
Impressions
CTR
NCs
CAC
ROAS
og_search-brand
$5,630
34,757
33.0%
403
$14
9.93x
og_search-conquesting
$14,177
143,717
2.86%
151
$91
1.44x
og_search-nb_mushroom-coffee
$8,792
46,815
4.55%
44
$193
1.61x
og_search-nb_beta
$2,700
16,382
3.66%
21
$121
0.95x
og_search-nb_coffee-alternative
$1,640
11,075
4.47%
20
$82
2.32x
og_search-nb_mushroom-coffee LP Test
$369
2,543
6.10%
4
$89
1.26x
Total
$33,309
255,289
—
643
$52
2.92x
Google total spend rose to $33.3K (vs. $20.1K prior) at $52 blended CAC and 2.92x ROAS. Brand search (og_search-brand) delivered 403 NCs at $14 CAC on $5.6K spend — 63% of Google NCs from 17% of Google spend. Non-brand mushroom-coffee spend doubled to $8.8K with CAC rising to $193 from $159 prior, while conquesting against Ryze/Four Sigmatic/Everyday Dose ran $14.2K at $91 CAC.
GA4 / Site Performance
mudwtr.com — GA4 property 310751693
Sessions & CVR — Last 13 Weeks
Sessions CVR 2% Floor
Brand Demand — Last 13 Weeks (Direct + Organic Search)
Weekly sessions 13-week avg
Direct + Organic Search sessions totaled 71,165 this week (61,990 direct + 9,175 organic search), down from a Feb peak around 92K and tracking near the 13-week average. Direct sessions have softened over the past 4 weeks (57K → 50K → 51K → 62K), while organic search has held in the 9K–11K range. Paid Social remained the largest channel at 70,120 sessions.
/pages/rise-2 took 99,509 sessions (41% of all site traffic) at 1.79% CVR — below the 2% floor and the destination for the bulk of Meta cold traffic. PDPs converted higher: /products/30-servings-tin at 3.99% (32K sessions) and /products/strawberry-matcha at 4.66% (3.3K sessions). The listicle LP (/pages/compare-listicle-og) sat at 2.08% on 8,995 sessions.
Subscription Health
Source: Omni Analytics • ReCharge
Active Subscribers — Last 13 Weeks
Total Active Net Change / Week
Active Subscribers
119,709
Week-end May 10
New Subscribers (week)
4,007
Mon–Sun
Net Subs Change
−221
Net loss this week
Total Orders (week)
18,811
Subscriber Retention by Cohort
Cohort
Month 1
Month 2
Month 3
Month 4
Month 5
Month 6
Target: 61%
Target: 45%
Target: 36%
Target: 30%
Target: 25%
Target: 21%
Apr 2025
58.2%
42.1%
33.5%
28.4%
24.1%
20.8%
May 2025
59.4%
43.0%
34.2%
29.0%
24.7%
21.3%
Jun 2025
57.8%
41.5%
33.1%
28.0%
23.8%
20.5%
Jul 2025
60.5%
44.8%
35.2%
29.6%
25.0%
21.7%
Aug 2025
59.8%
43.5%
34.9%
29.3%
24.9%
21.4%
Sep 2025
60.1%
44.2%
35.8%
30.1%
25.4%
22.1%
Oct 2025
62.3%
46.6%
36.7%
31.3%
26.8%
—
Nov 2025
62.8%
46.3%
38.0%
31.8%
26.2%
—
Dec 2025
61.4%
47.9%
38.8%
31.5%
—
—
Jan 2026
67.1%
51.5%
39.4%
—
—
—
Feb 2026
63.7%
48.2%
—
—
—
—
Mar 2026
61.2%
—
—
—
—
—
Active subscribers ended at 119,709 with a weekly net change of −221 across 4,007 new subs and 18,811 total orders. Daily net flipped from negative early-week (May 4–7 averaged −105/day, aligning with the late-month Recharge billing cycle window) to positive late-week (May 8–10 averaged +112/day). Recent cohorts continue to track at or above target — Jan 2026 hit 67.1% / 51.5% / 39.4% across months 1–3 vs. 61% / 45% / 36% targets — and Feb/Mar 2026 month-1 retention is at 63.7% and 61.2%.
Email & SMS
Source: Klaviyo via Supermetrics
Email List Growth — Last 12 Weeks
Total Subscribers Net New / Week
List Size
1.24M+
Active subscribers
Campaigns Sent
4
This week
Total Email Revenue
$133,526
From 4 campaigns
Total Conversions
2,524
Send Date
Campaign
Recipients
Open Rate
Click Rate
Conversions
Revenue
May 4
“Mother's Day” RE-SEND
384,373
51.5%
0.39%
973
$49,740
May 6
5.05.26 TWB Newsletter
300,415
51.5%
0.72%
1,425
$76,697
May 9
5.07.26 Spring LTO Review Request
3,981
59.1%
3.52%
50
$2,816
May 9
5.09.26 Caffeine & Cortisol
304,886
52.7%
0.42%
76
$4,274
Four sends generated $133,526 in attributed revenue across 2,524 conversions, with the TWB Newsletter (May 6) driving $76,697 (57% of the week's email revenue) and the Mother's Day re-send (May 4) adding $49,740. Open rates ran 51.5%–59.1% across all sends. The May 9 "Caffeine & Cortisol" send to 304,886 recipients clicked at 0.42% and converted to $4,274, materially below the prior two broadcasts on similar list size.
Instagram Organic
@mudwtr • Source: Instagram Insights API
Follower Growth — Last 12 Weeks
Total Followers Net New / Week
Followers
379,662
+~2,600 this week (est.)
Total Media
1,781
Account
@mudwtr
Posts This Week
—
Post-level data unavailable
Note: Individual post metrics (reach, likes, comments) for this week were not returned by the Instagram Insights pull. Profile-level data (followers, total media) is current as of May 11.
@mudwtr stands at 379,662 followers and 1,781 total media as of May 11, with an estimated +2,600 net followers this week. Post-level engagement metrics (reach, likes, comments, shares) did not return in this pull, so individual post performance cannot be assessed.
Industry News
Google News + Reddit · Last 7 days · MUD\WTR + Ryze + Four Sigmatic + Everyday Dose + Space Goods
MUD\WTR Brand Interest — Last 13 Weeks (Google Trends)
Combined search interest
Google Trends brand data unavailable this pull (API returned error). Chart will populate on next successful fetch.
Competitive Search Interest — Last 13 Weeks (Google Trends, US)
Ryze Four Sigmatic
Category coverage continued in legacy media: NY Post (May 1), Taste of Home (Apr 30), and Bon Appétit (Apr 21) all ran category roundups featuring MUD\WTR alongside Ryze, Four Sigmatic, and Everyday Dose. MUD\WTR-specific national press was absent this week, while Everyday Dose received both an NY Post review feature and a 11-comment Reddit complaint thread about hidden unsubscribe buttons. Reddit competitive threads ("Ryze mushroom coffee alternatives?" — 33 comments; "Mushroom coffee that works?" — 51 comments) both surfaced user frustration with Ryze's mushroom dosing.
New York Post · Mushroom Coffee Category
This mushroom coffee has something others lack — I've tasted (and felt) the difference
Mainstream coverage of the mushroom coffee category. Published May 1 — continues run of legacy media coverage that began in Q1 2026.
The Best Mushroom Coffee for Focus and Wellness, Tested by a Dietitian
Dietitian-tested roundup featuring MUD\WTR, Ryze, Four Sigmatic, Everyday Dose. Published Apr 30. The category roundup format is now standard in mainstream food media.
Bon Appétit · Taste Test
I Drank 20 Mushroom Coffees To Find The 4 Best Tasting Brews (2026)
Major taste-test feature evaluating 20 brands. MUD\WTR, Ryze, Four Sigmatic, and Everyday Dose all named. Published Apr 21.
User complaint: "Spent $36/month on Ryze for three months before I looked up how much lion's mane was actually in each serving. Laughable." Thread drove 33 comments comparing alternatives — opportunity for MUD\WTR conquest content.
"Hey JACK, hiding the Unsubscribe button is ILLEGAL"
User complaint thread (11 comments) about Everyday Dose hiding the unsubscribe button in emails. Reinforces the subscription-trap narrative that has dogged Everyday Dose throughout 2026.
"VERY bad experience" — user reports adverse reaction after 2 months
User initially loved MUD\WTR but says they "started feeling like it was [causing issues]" after ~2 months. 4 comments, 3 upvotes. Low-velocity but worth monitoring for CX follow-up.
User dropping Ryze ("paid $30 for instant coffee with a story") and asking about Four Sigmatic + smaller brands. 51 comments — high-engagement competitive thread.
Affiliate user post: "The MUD\WTR coffee alternatives have successfully weaned me off the usual coffee, and they taste amazing." Organic affiliate sharing.
Tickets +452% WoW — volume spike tied to Siena automation rollout
3,660 tickets this week vs 662 last week. Top tags: handled-by-siena (29.7%), siena-follow-needed (28.4%), Subscription Cancel (23.5%). CSAT remained strong at 4.88/5 across 67 responses. The volume spike appears to reflect tagging methodology change, not customer dissatisfaction.
Google Trends · Ryze
Ryze search interest steady at 45–55 (vs Feb peak of 100)
Ryze search interest cooled significantly from its Feb 21 peak (100) and sat in the 40–58 range across week of May 4–10. Four Sigmatic remains low (21–33) since the Apr 27 reset.